Lia Karatancheva vs Maria Kononova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Karatancheva has a slight edge in recent second serve performance, securing 38.76% of points compared to Kononova's 36.24%. Could this advantage be a decisive factor?
• In return games, Kononova has a minor upper hand on second serve points, winning 50.75% against Karatancheva's 48.73%.
• Karatancheva outperforms Kononova in first serve returns, winning 38.56% of points compared to 35.6% for Kononova. Does this shift the balance in her favor?
• Under pressure, Karatancheva saves 46.53% of breakpoints, slightly better than Kononova's 43.92%.
• Karatancheva boasts a stronger performance over the past year, winning 55% of her matches, while Kononova's win rate is 38.24%.
• Both players perform best on Clay, with Karatancheva winning 55% of her matches compared to Kononova's 49% on this surface.
• Karatancheva wins more in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, achieving a 55.7% win rate versus Kononova's 40.63%.
• Karatancheva faces slightly lower-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 360.55, compared to Kononova's 347.12. Does this affect the reliability of their past performances?
• Kononova has been more successful in deciding sets, winning 63% compared to Karatancheva's 30%. Could this resilience be crucial in a tight match?
• In terms of breakpoint conversion, Karatancheva holds a slight edge, converting 42.8% compared to Kononova's 39.62%.

Editorial Prediction (May 7, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the likelihood of Karatancheva or Kononova emerging victorious, multiple statistical factors come into play. Karatancheva demonstrates a marginal advantage in second serve performance and first serve returns, two critical components that could play a decisive role during intense rallies.

While both athletes favor Clay courts, Karatancheva's overall experience and higher win percentage in Challengers/ITF tournaments suggest a slight competitive edge. Furthermore, her superior breakpoint conversion rate indicates an ability to capitalize on critical moments in a match.

However, Kononova's success in deciding sets poses a formidable challenge; her resilience under pressure could prove pivotal in a closely contested match.

Given these considerations, Karatancheva is slightly more likely to secure victory, yet Kononova's mental fortitude cannot be underestimated.